Sunday, August 25, 2013

The percentages


By Dawn Gagnon, BDN Staff
Posted March 05, 2010, at 8:33 p.m.   
Editor’s Note: The following correction was appended to this story, and the online version reflects those changes:
A story that ran on Page A1 on March 6-7 about child abuse fatalities requires clarification. A statement by Dr. Lawrence Ricci of Portland asserted that across the U.S. fathers and father figures are more likely to kill children. Ricci said Thursday his statement referred specifically to abused children who died of head trauma. According to a report by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, mothers and female partners of a parent were identified as perpetrators in 27.4 percent of fatalities involving child maltreatment in 2007, the most recent year for which statistics are available, while 19 percent of perpetrators were identified as fathers or male partners of a parent.

BANGOR, Maine — Fathers and father figures are most often the perpetrators of severe physical abuse of children that results in death in Maine, according to law enforcement and child abuse authorities.
On Feb. 23, Damien Christopher Lynn became the first Maine child to die this year as the result of severe abuse. He is the 12th child under age 18 to die as the result of homicide in the state since 2005.
According to authorities, Damien Lynn suffered injuries including brain trauma, a broken arm and broken ribs.
The man police have accused of killing the boy, Edgard Anziani, was the boyfriend of Damien’s mother. He lived on and off with the mother and child for four months before the homicide, according to court records. Anziani, who is from Lawrence, Mass., was arrested by federal authorities Monday in Bladensburg, Md. He waived extradition and is expected to appear in a Bangor court next week.
Statistics maintained by the Maine Department of Public Safety show that 12 children have died as the result of homicide or manslaughter over the past five years. The numbers show that the youngest, the most vulnerable, are most at risk. Eight victims were under age 3, and most of the children died at the hands of a parent, stepparent or the partner of a parent, according to Stephen McCausland, spokesman for the Maine Department of Public Safety.
“We average about 24 homicides over the course of a year, and in a typical year, we usually have at least a couple that are children,” McCausland said.
The exception was in 2008, McCausland said, when five children were murdered in Maine.
“The vast majority are children who died at the hands of a young man, usually the father or the mother’s boyfriend,” he said.

Could this be the reason that LE focused on Justin so early in the investigation? The reason that LE decided an abduction never happened? If you go by the percentages you wouldn't look very hard at the kidnapping scenario. You would look at the possibility of an accidental death or even intentional death as more likely to have happend. Could they have overlooked some evidence because of it? If you have a body I would think it would be easier to prove foul play. No matter what they do if they make an arrest and a family friend or relative took Ayla, they surely would come forward with Ayla. If it goes with the way of the percentages it will all play out in the courts, and prayerfully Ayla will come home.

 Please keep Ayla in your prayers, and comment on what you think has happened. We need to keep Ayla's name out there.











LIGHTING THE WAY HOME FOR AYLA







Please join in, everyone is invited to join us in “Lighting The Way Home For Ayla” awareness event. My front patio light will be on for Ayla.
Anyone who wishes to learn about the “Lighting The Way Home For Ayla” awareness event please check out the tab on the navigation bar, also there is a tab for Press For Prosecution.









60 comments:

  1. Also please light a candle in all 3 rooms to light the way for Ayla to find her way room. Even if you do not believe in God lighting a candle is a way of showing we will not give up and will light the way for Ayla to come home, The rooms seem so dark and I know their are a lot of people on here that want justice for Ayla and lighting up all we get is one way to show we are all in this for the long or short haul and will not give up until she is found. I am keeping my gun cabinet lit uo since I do not have a porch light and feel any lighting will show how important she is to all of us no matter who do what, we are in this for Ayla and Ayla only.

    Nene in Texas

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    Replies
    1. I meant to say to find her way home. Just got off work and sleepy.

      Nene in Texas

      Delete
  2. Wow Dana! You certainly have come a long way with your blogging skills! Pictures, colored fonts and everything! I'm impressed...

    Dawn Gagnon sure is a sweet reporter.

    Hey Jeff, feel like talking about Chris Brichetto now?

    ReplyDelete
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    1. "Hey Jeff, feel like talking about Chris Brichetto now?"
      ______________________

      I'm not following.

      How does Brichetto figure in Ayla's case? Are you suggesting there is a connection?

      Delete
    2. Someone came on the other day and asked Jeff if he and Trista knew Chris Brichetto. You asked who Brichetto was. Do you not remember that post? It got deleted, but DanaB put it back up.

      I'm not suggesting anything, but Jeff has never answered the question. I would like to hear his answer, wouldn't you?

      Delete
    3. Yes...I remember the post.

      I don't know. I think Jeff just dismissed the post in its entirety because it was a little hard to follow.

      Anyway, thanks for the clarification.

      Delete
    4. You've been following this case as long as I have, and I didn't have a bit of trouble following the OP. I'm sure Jeff didn't have any problem.

      You are welcome.

      So how about it Jeff? LE, the media, and quite a few others are waiting for your reply.

      They also had some questions for Phoebe DiPietro, but I wouldn't hold my breath waiting on that to happen.



      Delete
    5. I have to say someone from U4A told me how to do the pictures. I lucked onto the font colors. It is a learning experience. One should start young though.

      Delete
  3. Justin probably wishes someone out there would believe this line of thinking (that police didn't consider the kidnapping seriously enough because of stats) but it doesn't hold water. Read the news reports. There were door to door knock and talks, grid searches, underwater dives, air surveillance, dumpster checks, deployment of FBI's expert child abduction team... The police did everything possible to follow the possibility of kidnapping (or wandering off) even though the evidence in the house, Justin's demeanor, statistics, and other indicators suggested Ayla met with foul play in the house.

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  4. Justin probably wishes someone out there would believe this line of thinking (that police didn't consider the kidnapping seriously enough because of stats) but it doesn't hold water. Read the news reports. There were door to door knock and talks, grid searches, underwater dives, air surveillance, dumpster checks, deployment of FBI's expert child abduction team... The police did everything possible to follow the possibility of kidnapping (or wandering off) even though the evidence in the house, Justin's demeanor, statistics, and other indicators suggested Ayla met with foul play in the house.

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    1. I agree with CG,

      LE has most definitely considered abduction.
      They have conducted searchs as far away as Canada,
      Alaska and Hawaii. Well, they had LE in those states do searches.
      They certainly were NOT looking for a body in those places.
      Even as late as Oct. LE conducted searches. I don;'t believe they were looking in Stoddard N.H. for a body either. There is no way Justin could have transported Ayla's body to Stoddard N.H on the night of Dec. 16th. Let alone Canada, Alaska, or Hawaii.

      People will say they are just covering their bases with those searches. I don't think so.
      McCausland told us at the 1 year anniversary that the FBI is still involved in Ayla's case.
      That tells me they are still considering abduction, or there is something a lot more serious going on that we don't know about.

      Delete
    2. CG says, :There were door to door knock and talks, grid searches, underwater dives, air surveillance, dumpster checks, deployment of FBI's expert child abduction team...", yet, they still don't know what happened to Ayla!

      signed:getrealpeople

      Delete
  5. Kind of OT to Dana B:

    Dana, Sorry, I was late in seeing your question back on "The Next 34 Days". No, Dana, unfortunately, these things I questioned GRP about do happen. It's just that I don't recall GRP ever giving any ideas of what she personally thinks might have happened to Ayla. I know she is adamant that Justin is innocent, but of what? I was interested to know her thoughts.

    I think I have not followed GRP's posts carefully enough to determine what she believes and I presented some theories including parental kidnapping by either Trista or Justin and asked GRP if she had ever considered the possiblity that either Justin or Trista were hiding Ayla. Mere possibilities, of course.

    Another theory that Ayla was given or sold, by either parent, in an illegal adoption is one that seldom comes up as a motive for Ayla being missing, but I suppose it is also a distant possibility.

    I told her that I believed that abduction by a stranger was too scary to contemplate. The reasons why are discussed on missing children's organizations' websites. That kind of an abduction is just too horrible for me to think about and have peaceful slumbers.

    Of course, the article above detailing statistics on parental abuse is no less horrifying.

    To the Anon who suggested I get my own blog and (in so many words) leave everybody alone (a win/win situation): I will take your suggestion under serious advisement, Anon. I am sure you have everyone's interest at heart.

    PennyA.



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  6. Dana, your first question "Could this be the reason that LE focused on Justin so early in the investigation?" is confusing. Are you asking is the fact that fathers kill more often the reason LE focused on Justin. because the disclaimer at the top says that this is only the case in head injuries, but we aren't sure exactly how Ayla passed (if indeed she did), so how could LE know in order to determine who to focus on? All we know at this point is there is blood and Ayla is missing, so percentages indicate that Ayla was more likely injured by a female rather than male, right? Also, this information is compiled from 2007, surely newer information is available that could give us a better idea of the more recent data, were you unable to find any?

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Yes,but not only in head injuries. If there was a lot of blood in the basement it may cause them to suspect head injuries. If they located a significant amount of blood, they could dismiss early the idea of abduction when no forced entry was seen.

      Delete
  7. I believe that the law enforcement in Waterville, Maine initially did what the majority of law enforcement agencies around the country do in a missing child case--work from the inside out trying to eliminate the family members and associates closest to Ayla while conducting a parallel investigation of a possible abduction at the same time. The Maine State Police and FBI became involved pretty early on in this investigation; I don't believe that state statistics played a role in their focus on the three individuals that were present when Ayla disappeared. By the way, the statistics are available on a nationwide basis regarding the prevalence of filicide. You may find it interesting.

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  8. “According to a report by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, mothers and female partners of a parent were identified as perpetrators in 27.4 percent of fatalities involving child maltreatment in 2007, the most recent year for which statistics are available, while 19 percent of perpetrators were identified as fathers or male partners of a parent.

    What exactly is McCausland saying, “The exception was in 2008, McCausland said, when five children were murdered in Maine.
    “The vast majority are children who died at the hands of a young man, usually the father or the mother’s boyfriend,” he said.”

    What the “vast majority“ in 2008?

    Yet McCausland also says, ”The numbers show that the youngest, the most vulnerable, are most at risk. Eight victims were under age 3, and most of the children died at the hands of a parent, stepparent or the partner of a parent, according to Stephen McCausland, spokesman for the Maine Department of Public Safety.”

    So I guess the vast majority refers to children murdered in 2008?

    Why is McCausland even giving this information?

    I hope they are not using these statistics to convict Justin, or anyone else!

    You can’t believe everything you read, especially when “statistics” are involved!

    You “can” use statistics to fit your theory! Using a group of 5 in one year, is ridiculous, Using a group of 12 (minus 5) in 5 years is ridiculous.

    These “supposed statistics” have no meaning! If you have never had a course in statistics, please, do not be side tracked by these statistics!

    “Could this be the reason that LE focused on Justin so early in the investigation?“ Statistics should never be used to convict a person, or focus on them. Especially the statistics presented in this blog.

    Signed:getrealpeople

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  9. Looking At The FactsAugust 25, 2013 at 5:23 PM

    And speaking of statistics Let's all remember what Jessica said only days after her niece went missing

    The girl's disappearance remained classified as a missing person case today, but some family members feared the worst.

    "Statistically speaking, she's not OK. I hope that baby is strong enough not to become a statistic," said Jessica Reynolds, Trista's older sister.

    http://www.pressherald.com/news/Police-100-leads-in-missing-toddler-case-.html

    I'm sorry but it is little things like this that make me go hmmmm Remember this is long before anyone said foul play, before LE ever said they think the 3 in the home are not telling all they know, before crime tape was put up. This is also when many people were out searching away from their families out in the cold.

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Looking At The FactsAugust 25, 2013 at 5:32 PM

      Oh and before the copy and paste crap starts again no I am not saying Jessica did it. I don't know who was involved. I'm just saying what a ridiculous thing to say at that point when everyone is working so hard to find Ayla

      Delete
    2. Looking at the Facts, do we really know what the family had been told within 3-4 days after Ayla disappeared? Remember, they were in regular contact with law enforcement. They could have already been sharing their concerns with Ayla's maternal family long before the public heard foul play was involved in Ayla's disappearance. MOO.

      Delete
    3. Looking At The FactsAugust 25, 2013 at 5:48 PM

      Well being here seeing all going on I do not believe they thought much at that point except a baby was missing and needed to be found. The searches, hundreds being away from their families for the holidays to try to find Ayla. Look back at the interviews and videos, 3 days in no one was being told what they thought, a week or so later we were told they were still at the same place they were on day one.

      Delete
    4. Looking, I understand what you meant. It makes me think hmmmm also! Yet, then she disappeared from the public. U4A wants to talk about Justin, and his family not speaking out, well what about Trista's family who had the most contact with Ayla? It is all so crazy!

      signed:getrealpeople

      Delete
    5. "Statistically speaking, she's not OK. I hope that baby is strong enough not to become a statistic," said Jessica Reynolds, Trista's older sister

      ********

      LATF,
      I don't see anything wrong with this statement by Jessica. Ayla had been missing over 24 hours. She is correct in her concern. Statistically, a positive result becomes less likely the more time that goes by. Ayla's age, her attire and that it was winter on Maine, mild winter or not, made her survival questionable past 24 hours. If it was a kidnapping, her prognosis was even more grim.

      Delete
    6. Looking At The FactsAugust 25, 2013 at 6:12 PM

      I guess it is just me. If i was in a hotel with my sister who was falling apart the last thing I would talk about is statistics. I would think I would be very hopeful and positive not give up so soon. Maybe be pleading if anyone had her to return her since this would be an opportunity to reach thousands of people.

      Delete
    7. Looking At The Facts, unless you yourself was privy to what law enforcement was sharing with Ayla's family at the time, how would you know what they were already being told? I have been here in Portland, Oregon the last three years, two and a half months since Kyron Horman disappeared. I actually live within ten minutes of the location he was last seen, Skyline School. Kyron's search was the largest in oregon history, even bigger than D.B. Cooper's. Early on they had every law enforcement agency in Oregon up here involved in the search. Still, I know for a fact that information was shared with Kyron's family long before the public heard it. In Ayla's case, perhaps Jessica was already suspicious of Justin's involvement in Ayla's disappearance because at that point he wasn't even showing his face to the media? Purely speculation on my part, but who knows?

      Delete
    8. Looking At The FactsAugust 25, 2013 at 6:23 PM

      Rose city

      I can only say that living here and knowing how things work the tape would have been up well before it was if it was suspected that early. I remember watch Chief Massey talk and seeing the distress on all their faces as they searched endlessly. I also know when Justin released his first statement it went through LE first so it could be approved first. I have never in my life seen LE so tight lipped about an investigation. There are many factors that make me believe the way I do and that is this investigation is much bigger than any of us know. I feel it is not as cut an dry as anyone thinks.

      Delete
    9. "I hope that baby is strong enough not to become a statistic", what does that even mean? How can an 18 month old know what's going on?

      "Statistically speaking, she's not OK". how can Jessica say this? Where is she now, why isn't she speaking anymore. Does she not care anymore what happened to Ayla?

      Jessica's comments are really "out there"! Makes one wonder.

      signed:getrealpeople

      Delete
    10. According to Trista WPD wasn't sharing anything with her the first several days. She also said that WPD ask her not to come to Waterville, because they didn't want her to interfere.

      I can find the link if required, I believe it was on a news video. Trista was at a kitchen table, and talking about others searching. I believe this was about 3 days into Ayla's disappearance.

      Later WPD was ask about that & denied that she was ask not to come.

      Delete
    11. Looking At The FactsAugust 25, 2013 at 6:35 PM

      Rose just found this

      Trista told us what they were telling her

      REYNOLDS: They`re telling me nothing. They`re telling me that we`re in the same place that I was on Saturday, that they don`t know what happened to her.

      http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/1112/19/ng.01.html



      Delete
    12. Looking said-
      "There are many factors that make me believe the way I do and that is this investigation is much bigger than any of us know. I feel it is not as cut an dry as anyone thinks"

      I couldn't agree more Looking.

      Delete
    13. Looking At The FactsAugust 25, 2013 at 6:49 PM

      First we heard rumors that they were waiting to elect a new AG and that was the hold up, now it seems some think she will not go forward because she doesn't have a slam dunk. I don't think either are true. Something tells me this lady would be up for a challenge.

      About Attorney General Janet T. Mills
      Photo of Attorney General Janet Trafton Mills

      Attorney General Janet T. Mills

      Attorney General Janet Trafton Mills was born and raised in Farmington, daughter of Sumner Peter Mills and Katherine Coffin Mills. She graduated from Farmington High School and earned a BA degree from the University of Massachusetts Boston and a J.D. degree from the University of Maine School of Law, where she served on the Maine Law Review.

      Ms. Mills was an Assistant Attorney General from 1976 to 1980, prosecuting homicides and other major crimes, the first woman in the Criminal Division of the Attorney General’s office. In 1980, she was elected District Attorney for Androscoggin, Franklin and Oxford Counties, a position to which she was re-elected three times. She was the first woman District Attorney in New England and one of the first in the country.

      From 1995 through 2008, Ms. Mills practiced law in Skowhegan with her brother, former State Senator S. Peter Mills. In 2002, she was elected to the House of Representatives, representing the towns of Farmington and Industry. She served on the Judiciary Committee, the Criminal Justice and Public Safety Committee and the Appropriations Committee. She had run successfully for her fourth term in the House in November 2008 when she was elected by the Joint Convention in December 2008 to be Maine’s 55th Attorney General. She was the first woman to hold the office of Attorney General in Maine. From 2011 through 2012, she was of counsel in the Litigation Group of PretiFlaherty, LLP. She also taught in the Justice Studies Program at the University of Maine Augusta and served for two years as Vice Chair of the Maine Democratic Party.

      In December 2012, Ms. Mills was elected to serve as Maine’s 57th Attorney General.

      Ms. Mills and her husband Stanley Kuklinski live in Farmington. She has five stepdaughters and three grandsons.

      http://www.maine.gov/ag/about/message.shtml

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    14. LATF
      I feel it is not as cut an dry as anyone thinks.

      I agree.

      Delete
    15. Looking at the facts, thank you for the Nancy Grace link. First of all--unless I'm mistaken--the Nancy Grace shows are taped at least one day prior to their showtime or the transcript being available on the internet. The article you posted the link to with Jessica's statements is dated 12/20/2013. The CNN transcript is dated 12/19/2013, before the quotes in the Associated Press. The Nancy Grace show could have aired even before the 19th--I really don't know.

      Note this quote from the CNN transcript:

      "As those search parties continue, state police are still calling this, the family`s home, the focal point of the investigation as K-9 units search inside the home and also inside the garage."

      I believe by that point law enforcement was already looking at the possibility of "foul play" in Ayla's disappearance as it pertains to the three that were in the home when she disappeared regardless of what was publicly shared with the media. Although one would expect them to conduct searches in the last place Ayla was seen alive, no matter what the scenario, I also believe that the blood evidence was discovered inside the DiPietro residence during the initial searches. I have a lot of confidence in K-9 dogs; a highly trained and certified dog would have detected the blood. But, that is just my opinion.

      The quote by Trista with more content is interesting:

      "They`re telling me nothing. They`re telling me that we`re in the same place that I was on Saturday, that they don`t know what happened to her. They don`t know where she could be. And all that`s running through my mind is, I know my baby girl. I know Ayla, and Ayla doesn`t sleep through the night. She normally gets up once or twice for a diaper change, to have a bottle, to just, you know, like -- like, I would check on her all hours of the night. All hours."

      Trista was already suspicious of the circumstances of Ayla's disappearance at that point.

      Yes, by the date Trista spoke with Nancy Grace--around the 18th or earlier--she didn't know where her daughter was or what happened to her. That doesn't mean that law enforcement didn't already have suspicions about what may have happened to Ayla. Of course at that point they didn't know where Ayla was or what had happened to her for sure. They still don't know where she is. There isn't any way for you or I to know whether law enforcement had expressed any suspicions to Trista by the time of her interview with Nancy Grace, or a few days later when she was interviewed by the Associated Press. She still doesn't know where her daughter, Ayla is. It is interesting to read the entire Nancy Grace transcript; clearly it was already obvious to many that this was probably not an abduction.

      I respect your opinions and reasoning though. I personally did not and still don't find anything wrong with Jessica's statements. I do believe that by the time of the Associated Press interview, law enforcement was sharing something with the Reynolds family other than that of an abduction scenario. But there isn't anyway for me to know that for sure, of course. Additionally, as Dee stated:

      "Statistically, a positive result becomes less likely the more time that goes by. Ayla's age, her attire and that it was winter on Maine, mild winter or not, made her survival questionable past 24 hours. If it was a kidnapping, her prognosis was even more grim."

      That could also explain Jessica's statements.

      MOO.

      Delete
  10. Oops, meant to say, "Using a group of 12 (minus 5) in "4" years is ridiculous.

    signed:getrealpeople

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  11. General statistics be damned. How about a statistic for this: when police are called to the home of an alleged kidnap victim and find the victim's blood, how often is it a familial killing v. a bona fide kidnapping?

    ReplyDelete
  12. Looking At The FactsAugust 25, 2013 at 7:30 PM

    more statistics worth looking at
    “Missing children [who aren’t soon located], and there are only a handful, go back 40 years,” McCausland said.

    Six children in addition to Cable have been reported missing in Maine since 1971 and have not yet been found, according to the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children and media reports.

    Ayla Reynolds’ disappearance is not the only open missing child case in Maine.

    Douglas Charles Chapman, then 3, of Alfred was reported missing June 2, 1971; Cathy Marie Moulton, 16, of Portland was reported missing Sept. 24, 1971; Kurt Ronald Newton, 4, of Manchester was reported missing Sept. 1, 1975; Bernard Ross, 18, of Ashland was reported missing May 12, 1977; and Kimberly Ann Moreau, 17, of Jay was reported missing May 11, 1986.

    This was before Nicole Cable was found

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Also look at Maine's, "Missing Person's" site. When was the last time it was updated?

      signed:getrealpeople

      Delete
  13. "Also look at Maine's, "Missing Person's" site. When was the last time it was updated?"
    ______________

    Years and years, GRP. Not just "missing persons", but the entire MSP website.

    I'm in Massachusetts. Our State Police website is updated daily...sometimes every few hours if warranted.

    How can the Maine Department of Public Safety let their website go stale for eight years?

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Makes no sense, does it? What's the purpose for it if it is never updated?

      signed:getrealpeople

      Delete
    2. It is a little laid back and they don't want to rush anything. I had to stay back in the 5th grade 2 years. Then my dad passed into the 7th grade and they let me in the 6th. They said it just wasn't right me gettin outta school before him.

      Only kidding I don't really understand why it isn't updated. It has been mentioned before, but just stays the same.

      Delete
    3. Dana, stop it!!! No don't, it is good to laugh once and awhile!

      :)

      signed:getrealpeople

      Delete
    4. It is hard to comment and read comments about these poor children. If I don't get silly once in awhile I get so depressed and feel so helpless.

      DIFFERING STORIES. Joysann Rose testifies during the trial of her son, Michael Workman, charged with child abuse resulting in death. A forensic pathologist testified that Workman's 7-week-old son Tavyus, had a massive head injury; bruises and scrapes on his head; bleeding and excessive fluid on his brain; and numerous broken ribs. Workman's defense team argued that Tavyus' broken bones resulted from a vitamin deficiency; that his scrapes and fractures occured when family members and hospital personnel tried to revive him and that his head injuries resulted from a fall. The jury in the case deadlocked, but in July, Workman pleaded guilty to negligent child abuse resulting in death and was sentenced to 12 years in prison. (Craig F. Walker,


      Delete
    5. Dana,

      I appreciate your sense of humor too.

      "Then my dad passed into the 7th grade and they let me in the 6th"

      LOL, .. And here I was thinkin these here things only happen in my state.

      Delete
    6. I think I can count on one hand lately I have injected humor on this case. I can't count the number of times I have looked at Ayla's pictures and cried for her. It is such a shame, I think where my wife and I had a child die of sudden infant death syndrone at the age of 3 months, makes me want to cling to that slim possibility. Death is just so final.

      Delete
    7. Dana is that your left hand or right hand?

      More seriously Dana I understand. I honestly do. I've cried for Ayla too. There isn't a night that I don't pray for her, and so hope that she'll be found alive.

      I lost a child as well. Although she wasn't born yet, I'm not sure there would have been a difference in my grief. (so I understand) It took a long time to get past it...I did though. Thirteen years later I had another beautiful baby girl. A most welcome blessing. Even though we were sure we'd never have another child.
      (sorry for personal story)

      Delete
    8. Don't be sorry there are a lot of us out there. we waited 2 years but the doctor told us at the time the sooner the better, it helps with the grieving.

      Delete
    9. I am very sorry for you and your wife's loss, Dana.

      Delete
  14. Here is a 2011-2012 update on Child Abuse and Death resulting from abuse. It's lengthy and takes a while to download.

    https://www.childwelfare.gov/pubs/factsheets/fatality.cfm

    "Children uinder the age of 4 are most frequent victims of child abuse fatalities. These children are the most vulnerable for many reasons, including dependency, small size, and inability to defend themselves."

    "According to data from the National Child Abuse and Data System (NCANDS) 51 states reported a total of 1,545 fatalities. (In what year? 2010?) Based on that data,a nationally estimated total of 1,570 children died from abuse and neglect in 2011.

    "Many researchers believe that Child fatalities due to abuse and neglect are still underreported."

    "In 2011, parents, acting alone, or with another parent, were responsible for 78.3 % of child abuse and neglect fatalities."

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    1. This is something that needs to change, they just can't be allowed to get away with this. There needs to be stronger penalties when a death by abuse happens to a child especially.

      Delete
    2. Don't mean to distract from your post anon, but they state, "51 states reported..."

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    3. I haven't read the article, Anonymous 9:21 PM, but they may have been referring to the District of Columbia when they used the misnomer, "51 states".

      Delete
  15. Research II From http://www.childdeathreview.org/causesCAN.htm

    "Major Risk Factors:
    1. Younger children, especially under the age of five.
    2. Parents or caregivers who are under the age of 30.
    3. Low income, single-parent families experiencing major stresses.
    4. Children left with male caregivers who lack emotional attachment to the child.
    5. Children with emotional and health problems.
    6. Lack of suitable childcare.
    7. Substance abuse among caregivers.
    8. Parents and caregivers with unrealistic expectations of child development and behavior.

    Records Needed for Case Review:
    1. Autopsy reports
    2. Scene investigation reports and photos
    3. Interviews with family members
    4. Names, ages and genders of other children
    in home."

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  16. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  17. Let me start again. Not to make excuses to get a conviction of wrongful death involving a child must be very difficult. To get a conviction of wrongful death of a child with no body must be even much more difficult. There is the slim possibility that child is out there some place alive.

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    1. So true. I am sure this explains the hang up. But then there's the blood which has never been addressed by the family. I mean the cause of the blood has never been explained by any of those in the house that night.

      Delete
  18. In response to a comment by M.M;

    "This was an early search when the volunteer from the fire dept. was told to look for something “other than a child” at 1:36. I think LE knew almost immediately that this wasn’t an abduction or wandering child".

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fL0dGH-bG94

    ...I see this just the opposite.
    The volunteer said that this same area had been checked several times before. *This time* they were looking for something other than a child.
    So they had searched that area before for a child.
    Now they are looking for something other than a child. If Ayla had been abducted, someone could have discarded or dropped something taken along with Ayla, .. a splint, clothing or other article. The public may not know of something missing along with Ayla.

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    1. I can see your point. It sounded like they were looking for an article of clothing or toy anything that would point them in the right direction. Also I had noticed some saying a stranger abduction would be horrific the outcome and I agree. Something that I would feel horrific is if my father through abuse took my life also.

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    2. I agree Dana, and I think everyone would.

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  19. I also want to say that I love the "Light The Way Home For Ayla Project".
    A fantastic way to being awareness for Ayla, and one in which I will be participating.

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