A few people who follow this blog have asked me to do a post on the possibility that Ayla was abducted by a family member or a family member acting on the parent's behalf. I will be honest in that I don't necessarily think Ayla was a victim of parental abduction so it is hard for me to write a post on this scenario but in order to be fair, I am writing a post about it. Over the past few months, I have pondered over many different scenarios regarding what happened to Ayla Reynolds and not all of them involve Justin or someone in the home harming Ayla but my gut instinctively tells me that what happened to Ayla was an accident that was covered up for whatever reason. Even though that is what I think happened to Ayla, I am open-minded enough to entertain other theories. This first part will focus more on why many people do not take LE's claim that they do not think an abduction took place and the second part will go more into statistics and plausibility.
Police who confirmed the discovery of blood from a missing toddler in the basement of her father's home said today they've found no evidence to support an abduction, and they believe adults in the home know more than what they're telling investigators.
Six weeks after Ayla Reynolds' disappearance in Waterville, state and local detectives believe the father, Justin DiPietro, and two other adults in the home on the night Ayla was last seen are not giving a full account of what happened, Steve McCausland, spokesman for the Maine Department of Public Safety.
The idea that someone sneaked into the small house and took Ayla without awakening any of the adults "doesn't pass the straight-face test," McCausland said.
At the time, LE released the info about Ayla's blood being found in the home, they claimed they did not THINK an abduction occurred and that no evidence found led them to believe an abduction had occurred. The majority of people following the case immediately ruled out the possibility of any abduction and many still believe it is possible despite what LE thinks. Some people choose to believe what LE believes and understandably so, so what makes the others not 100% confident in LE's assessment?
I think that there are a couple factors as to why they don't buy everything LE is saying and not all of them have to do with those people being "Justin Defenders". Many of these people could care less one way or the other about Justin and have never met him or have any desire to meet him.
- LE has released very little information regarding what they think happened to Ayla. They have not given a definitive response to date. It is always "We don't believe Ayla will be found alive" "We don't believe the three in the house are telling all they know" "We don't think an abduction occurred", Not once has LE said "The people in the house are lying" "Ayla is no longer alive" "We are certain Ayla was not kidnapped." If LE cannot be confident in their statements, how can those following the case be confident in what they say?
- Police have not ruled out nor named anyone a suspect of interest. If police were 100% sure that Ayla was not abducted why have they not at least ruled Trista out as a suspect? It is no surprise that many have asked LE to publicly announce that Trista is not a suspect and LE has flat out refused. During the 12/14/12 press conference, Ben McCanna specifically asked McCausland if he would rule out Trista as a suspect and McCausland said he would not do that. He went on to say that it is "too cumbersome" to do that and serves no purpose. I disagree. How can it be cumbersome to make a simple statement that Trista is not a suspect? It would serve a great purpose as far as lending credence to what Trista has released for information that she has gotten from MSP, it would also help to restore some people's faith in LE and that they have in fact progressed in Ayla's case.
- Many people feel that MSP has made little to no progress in Ayla's case. We are going on almost 2 years and Ayla has not been found and no one has been arrested. Many people do not feel confident in the abilities of Maine LE to handle a case of this magnitude. They feel that the main reason Ayla has not been found and that no arrests have been made is based on mistakes made during the most crucial stages of the investigation. One major factor is the fact that it took 6 days after Ayla was reported missing to seal off the house. As made evident in the case of Elizabeth Smart, it can take a mistake as small as a misspelled name to delay a missing child to be found and justice to be served.
- The majority of information that has been released about the case has come mostly from Trista. LE has not backed up her claims and publicly stated they would not confirm or deny what she released for information. Many people do not look favorably at Trista. They feel she has not been 100% honest and has made statements they find concerning or suspect and therefore do not feel comfortable taking her sole word for the major developments in the case that the public has only heard from her and have not had any independent verification of this information. Trista, through Jeff, has released on the blogs that police have "unequivocal evidence" that Ayla is deceased but some wonder if police really have this damning evidence, why haven't there been any arrests made? Why does it seem LE is waiting to find Ayla before bringing charges if this evidence is really as persuasive as they claim? Wouldn't they be able to use an arrest and pending murder charge as leverage to find the whereabouts of Ayla's remains? Wouldn't that course of action speed up this already long overdue process in getting justice for Ayla?
- There were at least three people confirmed to be in the home the night Ayla was reported to have gone missing many believe it is impossible for three people to keep silent about a secret this big and not change their stories once in almost two years. Two of the three people in the home were mothers of a young child and retain sole custody of their children. If the two mothers were involved, even just by having knowledge of what happened to Ayla, why wouldn't they tell police what they know rather than risk going to jail and losing their child? All three could not have had a hand in the actual deed of killing Ayla, it doesn't take three adults to murder a toddler. Elisha may have a loyalty to her brother Justin but wouldn't her loyalty to her child trump any brother/sister bond? Courtney is reportedly no longer with Justin so what would have stopped her at this point from going to police to save herself and her son? If Courtney was the perpetrator, what reason would Elisha have to protect her and vice versa?
- The biggest hurdle those who believe Justin or someone in the house that night is guilty of harming Ayla is the presence of blood belonging to Ayla found in the house. They believe that means Ayla is gone but MSP never commented on the amount of blood that information came from Trista. Police only stated that the discovery of blood was troubling. Of course it would be troubling, blood of a toddler who disappeared from her home was found in her home but the presence of blood may not be anything more than a cut foot or a gash on the forehead. Until LE releases how much blood was found, those who believe Ayla could have been abducted will look at the announcement of Ayla's blood being found as nothing more than a childhood injury that resulted in Ayla losing an amount of blood that was more than a drop and required a clean up. MSP also never concluded that all of the blood found did belong to Ayla and by not releasing that information it can and has been viewed by some as a premature release of information and a refusal to admit their mistake and set the record straight. If all of the blood was Ayla's, why not release that information since they had already announced at least some of her blood was found? What would the damage be by clarifying now that all testing MUST be concluded at the lab?