Another Possible Scenario
There was no kidnapping based on MSP statements and FBI actions the day of 17 December 2011. The abuse (weather intentional or accidental) is documented and the neglect is evident in all actions since December 17th. There is no disputing the broken arm, though the circumstances as to how it happened are disputable due to Justin’s own recollection of events on the news interview when he stated “it is burned into my brain”. The pulled leg muscle occurring while horse playing (his words), is not disputable because Justin has never refuted Trista’s timeline regarding this event. Granted, several individuals have tried to refute it on behalf of Justin, but he has never publicly refuted it himself. The facial bruises occurring in a non-existing ball pit at chuck-e-cheese, has also never been publicly refuted by Justin either. The missed DHHS date for returning Ayla to Trista after rehab is also not disputable. Too many individuals from DHHS to a lawyer to multiple family members all heard the agreement. The purchase of a $25,000 death pay-out Life Insurance Policy, the totality of all the lies from Justin culminating when he stated he was not visually shown the luminal enhanced photos of the blood stains, later directly contradicted by MSP that he was shown the pictures. Which brings followers of the case to the blood spilled in Justin’s’ bedroom mere inches from where he laid his head to sleep.
Now in order to discuss the blood of Ayla on the bedroom floor, several questions have to be asked about the spilling of Ayla’s blood. The answers to those questions can give limited plausible theories which will incorporate all answers, and then some. Those questions needing answers are;
1. How much blood was spilled?
2. When did the spilling of Ayla’s blood occur?
3. Why would Ayla not be treated?
4. Who cleaned-up the blood?
5. Why would everyone in the house cover this up?
6. What injury could be sustained to produce “significant” blood lose in such a short time?
Question 1 - How much blood was spilled? This is answered several times, by several different sources. The three most notable amounts were the 3-4 droplets reported by Heidi based upon what she was told by Justin, Answers For Ayla reports being told it was more than a cupful, and Law Enforcement stated it was a “troublesome” amount that was more than a “small cut would produce”. Well, obviously with the luminal pictures shown to Justin, we know it was more than a few droplets. To be fair to both families and because LE will not verify the cupful statement (though I am inclined to believe the cupful statement), I will assume the amount is between troublesome and a cupful. ANSWER = ½ cup
Question 2 - When did the spilling of Ayla’s blood occur? Because Trista was last allowed to speak with Ayla on the 8th of December, it is fair to say that the injury occurred between the 9th and 16th. Recall that Justin is video-taped at Cumberland Farms in Portland on the 15th. There was significant clean-up required for the blood so assume the injury occurred between the 9th and 14th. Ayla was not brought to her appointment on the 12th. I would “assume” there is a reason for the missed appointment. That now limits the spilling of Aylas blood to the 9th – 11th. Based on this scenario, there was a minimum of 5 full days to clean-up Aylas blood and dispose of any remaining evidence. Because of the excuses given and delaying tactics used to prevent Ayla and Trista from speaking, I am leaning more towards the 9th than the 11th. ANSWER = 9th or 10th of December
Question 3 – Why would Ayla not be treated? Because the adults at the house on the evening in question, 9th or 10th, were either A) involved in criminal activities, or B) the injury sustained by Ayla was fatal in nature. Though in my heart I hold out hopes I am wrong, the amount of blood spilled was too significant for Ayla to survive without proper medical attention. ANSWER = B) Ayla sadly no longer needed medical attention.
Question 4 – Who cleaned-up the blood? – This question is answered by the devotion shown to Justin and the silence maintained with both the media and Law Enforcement by the girlfriend of an individual being publically accused of the death of his daughter. This would implicate her in the cover-up of whatever happened to Ayla and tampering with evidence at a minimum. ANSWER = Courtney Roberts
Question 5 - Why would everyone in the house cover this up? We do not know who was in the house when the injury was sustained by Ayla because we do not know the exact date of the injury. It is solely my belief that a minimum number of people were in the house and those two, Courtney and Justin, were able to conceive a scenario that was relayed to Phoebe and Elisha after the fact. This would explain why Phoebe was not at the house on the night of the 16th. It does not absolve her of responsibility for lying on the interview and doing nothing to speak out for her granddaughter though. She simply was not controlling the story that was to be told to LE. She desperately wanted to protect Justin, but failed in her initial story. Recall that she was known by friends to have covered-up all the kid’s transgressions throughout their childhoods (ie, the Radio Shack incident). ANSWER = Justin and Courtney had direct involvement, Phoebe and Elisha were protecting their son and big brother respectively, Lance was not involved until well after the plan had been conceived and too late to bring Ayla back, and Derek because of the Life Insurance Policy
Question 6 - What injury could be sustained to produce “troublesome” blood lose in such a short time? There are several possibilities in any house that could cause this. Knives, box cutters, pick ax, ecetera could all do this kind of harm to the human body. But then one has to look at the location of the blood and ask oneself, what commonly in that location could do this much harm. With the blood being located in the cleaned up bedroom, kitchen implements and gardening tools can presumably be eliminated. As a home owner and hunter, there are frequently firearms either in a night table beside the bed or under a pillow. Other home protection devices, such as stun guns or pepper spray normally do not produce blood to be spilled, much less blood spilled in this quantity. The other option is a bayonet or machete type of knife. ANSWER = Firearm or large knife
With those questions now answered, I must now develop a scenario that fits the answers. This scenario is simply my own personal opinion as to how the answers fit together. I am in no way calling my answers FACTUAL. So you know my reasoning already, now here is my scenario. On the evening of the 8th of December, Justin and Courtney were alone in the house and thought it was their best chance for privacy and intimacy. They first must put Ayla and Aiden in the room downstairs to play. They then go upstairs for their long awaited privacy. The reason the children are downstairs is the room is soundproofed according to Selena and this would fit into my scenario.
Within 10-15 minutes, Justin and Courtney hear a loud pop from the basement. They rush down and find Ayla on the floor bleeding and Aiden crying with a small home protection pistol laying on the bed beside Aiden. Justin and Courtney panic and attempt to render some personal medical attention. Justin running upstairs for towels and any other medical necessities from the bathroom breaks the baby gate and some of Aylas blood is then distributed at the bottom of the stairs and possibly a few other droplets around the basement.
By the time he returns to the bedroom, Courtney has determined the wound to Ayla to be a fatal one. At this point they have a choice, call 911 and report the accident or cover everything up! They mistakenly choose to cover-up the accident, and to protect Aiden from psychological trauma. Courtney cleans up the blood while Justin disposes of physical evidence. Aylas remains are then placed in a secure container and moved to the shed in the backyard.
Over the next short period of time, Phoebe and Elisha are told of the tragedy and asked to help to protect Aiden from the trauma and to protect Justin and Courtney from prosecution for what they have already done. Phoebe is irate after everything she had done to get Ayla and protect Justin from the state. But she is fluent with working the system so she decides to have Justin contact his childhood friend, D. Tudela. The life insurance policy which was purchased back in Oct-Nov is now modified and submitted with a back dated purchase date. This brings the Tudela family into the cover-up and that is why Justin and his family have received so much assistance from the Tudela family. Heidi must protect her own son, but Justin has the skeleton key for that proverbial closet in his pocket. On the 15th, once the policy is submitted, Justin must now tell Lance what is happening. In doing so, Justin did not realize how close Lance had grown to Ayla and Lance takes out the frustration of Justin. This frustration is what appears to have been the cause of what looked like a black eye and a very sore nose when Justin was on television. Justin decides to drink of the pain of Lances’ frustration with a visit to his buddies in Portland.
Unknown to Justin, Trista has had enough of being put off by Justin and not being allowed to talk with Ayla. She then goes to the courthouse and files for parental rights. Phoebe gets a call from a friend on the 16th informing her that Trista may have filed paperwork with the court. Phoebe now must initiate their plans a bit early. The coincidence of timing with the filing of paperwork to negative things happening is too great to ignore, Justin Linnel being assaulted and then Ayla being reported missing. Phoebes makes plans to be away from the house that night, Lance is told to stay away because he is still angry, and Justin, Courtney and Elisha make the phone call the next morning.
This is again just a theory that fits with the answers to the above 6 questions. But it is a scenario where most elements are incorporated and the Statements, when the time is right (when he gets charged) and the truth is what it is (another case of child-on-child violence) can both be fit in as well.
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